Prospect board, #640 overall
Ondrej Becher
Centre, 22.6 years old, Grand Rapids Griffins (AHL), 6′1″ 195 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
15%
Scouting report
Ondrej Becher is a 22-year-old centre with Grand Rapids Griffins in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 4 assists in 7 games, 0.57 a game, which works out to about 18 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 195 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 15% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner15%
- Tweener25%
- AHLer (most likely)91%
How he got there
1His line
0.57 P/GP
0 G, 4 A in 7 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
18 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−9%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
32 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Grand Rapids Griffins | AHL | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.57 |
| Last season | Grand Rapids Griffins | AHL | 60 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 0.47 |