Prospect board, #403 overall
Ondrej Ruml
Defence, 18.5 years old, Ottawa 67's (OHL), 5′11″ 167 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
30%
Scouting report
Ondrej Ruml is an 18-year-old defenceman with Ottawa 67's in the OHL. He has 5 goals and 5 assists in 9 games, 1.11 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.42 a game last season. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 167 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 30% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 23 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- Top-pair4%
- Second-pair5%
- Third-pair30%
- Tweener42%
- AHLer (most likely)69%
How he got there
1His line
1.11 P/GP
5 G, 5 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+4%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
23 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Ottawa 67's | OHL | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1.11 |
| Last season | Ottawa 67's | OHL | 66 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 0.42 |