GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #641 overall

Ossie McIntyre

Centre, 17.5 years old, Spokane Chiefs (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

15%

Long shot

Scouting report

Ossie McIntyre is a 17-year-old centre with Spokane Chiefs in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 8 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

That is down from 0.25 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. The five best scorers around him average 1.30 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 15% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 5% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. First-liner5%
  3. Middle-sixer10%
  4. Fourth-liner15%
  5. Tweener19%
  6. AHLer47%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 8 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −14%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    17.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    48 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSpokane ChiefsWHL80000.00
Last seasonSpokane ChiefsWHL4438110.25