Owen Allard

Forward, 22.7 years old, Tucson Roadrunners (AHL), 6′2″ 187 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

16%

AHLer

Scouting report

Owen Allard is a 22-year-old forward with Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL. He has 8 goals and 11 assists in 69 games, 0.28 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 187 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer<1%
Fourth-liner16%
Tweener20%
AHLer (most likely)95%

How he got there

1His line
0.28 P/GP
8 G, 11 A in 69 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
9 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
27 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
Last season	Tucson Roadrunners	AHL	69	8	11	19	0.28