Prospect board, #2260 overall
Owen DeWitt
Left wing, 19.6 years old, Red Deer Rebels (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
1%
Scouting report
Owen DeWitt is a 19-year-old left wing with Red Deer Rebels in the WHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 11 games, 0.18 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.0 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.28 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner1%
- Tweener1%
- AHLer7%
How he got there
1His line
0.18 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 11 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−19%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Red Deer Rebels | WHL | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 |
| Last season | Red Deer Rebels | WHL | 46 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0.20 |