Prospect board, #710 overall
Owen Griffin
Centre, 19.4 years old, Guelph Storm (OHL), 5′10″ 175 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
11%
Scouting report
Owen Griffin is a 19-year-old centre with Guelph Storm in the OHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 12 assists in 9 games, 1.89 a game, which works out to about 22 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 1.02 a game last season. The five best scorers around him average 1.32 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 175 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer6%
- Fourth-liner11%
- Tweener21%
- AHLer (most likely)63%
How he got there
1His line
1.89 P/GP
5 G, 12 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
22 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−14%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
45 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 9 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 1.89 |
| Last season | Oshawa Generals | OHL | 66 | 25 | 42 | 67 | 1.02 |