Owen Martin

Centre, 19.4 years old, Spokane Chiefs (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

Long shot

Scouting report

Owen Martin is a 19-year-old centre with Spokane Chiefs in the WHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 4 assists in 6 games, 1.67 a game, which works out to about 19 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner2%
Middle-sixer2%
Fourth-liner6%
Tweener6%
AHLer41%

How he got there

1His line
1.67 P/GP
6 G, 4 A in 6 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
19 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Spokane Chiefs	WHL	6	6	4	10	1.67
Last season	Spokane Chiefs	WHL	65	26	30	56	0.86