GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1113 overall

Parker Bell

Left wing, 23.0 years old, Calgary Wranglers (AHL), 6′5″ 210 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

AHLer

Scouting report

Parker Bell is a 22-year-old left wing with Calgary Wranglers in the AHL. He has 3 goals and 3 assists in 53 games, 0.11 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 210 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner4%
  5. Tweener8%
  6. AHLer (most likely)73%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.11 P/GP

    3 G, 3 A in 53 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    23.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    31 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonCalgary WranglersAHL533360.11