Prospect board, #521 overall
Parker Smith
Left wing, 17.4 years old, Sudbury Wolves (OHL), 5′9″ 175 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
25%
Scouting report
Parker Smith is a 17-year-old left wing with Sudbury Wolves in the OHL. He has 2 goals and 3 assists in 9 games, 0.56 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.3 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.40 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 175 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 25% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 34 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer7%
- Fourth-liner25%
- Tweener35%
- AHLer (most likely)51%
How he got there
1His line
0.56 P/GP
2 G, 3 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−17%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
34 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sudbury Wolves | OHL | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0.56 |
| Last season | Sudbury Wolves | OHL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 |