GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1975 overall

Patrick McNab

Centre, 19.1 years old, Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL), 6′0″ 193 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Patrick McNab is a 19-year-old centre with Halifax Mooseheads in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 193 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener1%
  6. AHLer16%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.10 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 10 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    1 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    43 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL100110.10
Last seasonHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL603470.12