GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #413 overall

Philippe Veilleux

Left wing, 19.5 years old, Val-d'Or Foreurs (QMJHL), 5′10″ 186 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

22%

AHLer

Scouting report

Philippe Veilleux is a 19-year-old left wing with Val-d'Or Foreurs in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 10 goals and 17 assists in 12 games, 2.25 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 1.50 a game last season. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 186 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 22% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 7% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner7%
  3. Middle-sixer11%
  4. Fourth-liner22%
  5. Tweener31%
  6. AHLer (most likely)72%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    2.25 P/GP

    10 G, 17 A in 12 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    21 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    42 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL121017272.25
Last seasonVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL644353961.50