GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1634 overall

Phillip Shargorodsky

Centre, 19.5 years old, Barrie Colts (OHL), 6′3″ 200 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

Long shot

Scouting report

Phillip Shargorodsky is a 19-year-old centre with Barrie Colts in the OHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games, 0.40 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.44 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 200 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner4%
  5. Tweener9%
  6. AHLer16%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.40 P/GP

    1 G, 1 A in 5 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +44%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    32 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBarrie ColtsOHL51120.40