Phillip Sinn

Defence, 22.7 years old, San Jose Barracuda (AHL), 6′2″ 190 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

13%

Long shot

Scouting report

Phillip Sinn is a 22-year-old defenceman with San Jose Barracuda in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 190 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 13% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
Top-pair<1%
Second-pair<1%
Third-pair13%
Tweener13%
AHLer45%

How he got there

1His line
0.33 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−5%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
19 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	San Jose Barracuda	AHL	6	0	2	2	0.33