Poul Andersen

Right wing, 19.3 years old, Red Deer Rebels (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

AHLer

Scouting report

Poul Andersen is a 19-year-old right wing with Red Deer Rebels in the WHL, undrafted. He has 9 goals and 11 assists in 11 games, 1.82 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.72 a game last season.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner1%
Middle-sixer2%
Fourth-liner6%
Tweener8%
AHLer (most likely)50%

How he got there

1His line
1.82 P/GP
9 G, 11 A in 11 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
21 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−5%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
36 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Red Deer Rebels	WHL	11	9	11	20	1.82
Last season	Red Deer Rebels	WHL	64	25	21	46	0.72