Prospect board, #1583 overall
Rafaël Cloutier
Left wing, 19.1 years old, Rimouski Océanic (QMJHL), 6′4″ 193 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Rafaël Cloutier is a 19-year-old left wing with Rimouski Océanic in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 6 assists in 11 games, 0.82 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.44 a game last season. His team scores 5.2 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 193 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner3%
- Tweener3%
- AHLer25%
How he got there
1His line
0.82 P/GP
3 G, 6 A in 11 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−21%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
52 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rimouski Océanic | QMJHL | 11 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0.82 |
| Last season | Rimouski Océanic | QMJHL | 62 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 0.44 |