Prospect board, #1223 overall
Red Savage
Centre, 23.3 years old, Rochester Americans (AHL), 5′11″ 185 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
8%
Scouting report
Red Savage is a 23-year-old centre with Rochester Americans in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games, 0.40 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 185 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner8%
- Tweener9%
- AHLer47%
How he got there
1His line
0.40 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−1%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
28 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rochester Americans | AHL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.40 |
| Last season | Rochester Americans | AHL | 29 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.21 |