Prospect board, #1684 overall
Reyth Smith
Left wing, 19.1 years old, Niagara IceDogs (OHL), 6′2″ 179 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Reyth Smith is a 19-year-old left wing with Niagara IceDogs in the OHL, undrafted. He has 7 goals and 6 assists in 11 games, 1.18 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.14 a game last season. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 179 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner3%
- Tweener6%
- AHLer20%
How he got there
1His line
1.18 P/GP
7 G, 6 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
14 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+21%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
34 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Niagara IceDogs | OHL | 11 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 1.18 |
| Last season | Niagara IceDogs | OHL | 63 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0.14 |