Prospect board, #98 overall
Rhett Sather
Defence, 18.0 years old, Spokane Chiefs (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
44%
Scouting report
Rhett Sather is a 17-year-old defenceman with Spokane Chiefs in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 7 assists in 8 games, 0.88 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.61 a game last season. The five best scorers around him average 1.25 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 44% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 16% of a top-pair career and 10% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 38 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite10%
- Top-pair16%
- Second-pair33%
- Third-pair44%
- Tweener (most likely)62%
- AHLer77%
How he got there
1His line
0.88 P/GP
0 G, 7 A in 8 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−13%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Spokane Chiefs | WHL | 8 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0.88 |
| Last season | Spokane Chiefs | WHL | 66 | 11 | 29 | 40 | 0.61 |