GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1181 overall

Riley Steen

Defence, 18.0 years old, Medicine Hat Tigers (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

8%

Long shot

Scouting report

Riley Steen is an 18-year-old defenceman with Medicine Hat Tigers in the WHL. He has 1 goal and 4 assists in 9 games, 0.56 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.21 a game last season.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair1%
  3. Second-pair2%
  4. Third-pair8%
  5. Tweener13%
  6. AHLer31%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.56 P/GP

    1 G, 4 A in 9 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    6 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −8%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    18.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    26 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonMedicine Hat TigersWHL91450.56
Last seasonMedicine Hat TigersWHL57210120.21