GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1391 overall

Robin Benoit

Centre, 19.2 years old, Baie-Comeau Drakkar (QMJHL), 6′1″ 180 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

6%

Long shot

Scouting report

Robin Benoit is a 19-year-old centre with Baie-Comeau Drakkar in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 5 assists in 11 games, 0.45 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.58 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 180 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner6%
  5. Tweener6%
  6. AHLer29%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.45 P/GP

    0 G, 5 A in 11 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +44%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    41 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL110550.45
Last seasonBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL611716330.54