Prospect board, #596 overall
Robin Kuzma
Left wing, 18.6 years old, Kingston Frontenacs (OHL), 6′0″ 190 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
19%
Scouting report
Robin Kuzma is an 18-year-old left wing with Kingston Frontenacs in the OHL. He has 3 goals and 9 assists in 12 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.40 a game last season. His team scores 4.4 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 190 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer8%
- Fourth-liner19%
- Tweener31%
- AHLer (most likely)60%
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
3 G, 9 A in 12 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−13%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Kingston Frontenacs | OHL | 12 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Kingston Frontenacs | OHL | 68 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 0.40 |