Romain Litalien

Right wing, 18.4 years old, Cape Breton Eagles (QMJHL), 6′2″ 205 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

29%

AHLer

Scouting report

Romain Litalien is an 18-year-old right wing with Cape Breton Eagles in the QMJHL. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 205 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 29% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 14% of a first-line career and 6% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 52 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite6%
First-liner14%
Middle-sixer20%
Fourth-liner29%
Tweener45%
AHLer (most likely)66%

How he got there

1His line
0.50 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 6 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+8%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
52 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Cape Breton Eagles	QMJHL	6	1	2	3	0.50
Last season	Cape Breton Eagles	QMJHL	52	17	30	47	0.90