Prospect board, #494 overall
Roman Vanacker
Left wing, 16.4 years old, Kingston Frontenacs (OHL), 5′10″ 180 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
16%
Scouting report
Roman Vanacker is a 16-year-old left wing with Kingston Frontenacs in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 11 games, 0.09 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.4 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
At 16.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 180 pounds. His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 4% of a first-line career and 3% of turning into one of the league's best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite3%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer9%
- Fourth-liner16%
- Tweener40%
- AHLer (most likely)53%
How he got there
1His line
0.09 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−16%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
16.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
45 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Kingston Frontenacs | OHL | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 |