Prospect board, #2241 overall
Ryan Dwyer
Centre, 19.5 years old, Newfoundland Regiment (QMJHL), 5′11″ 187 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
<1%
Scouting report
Ryan Dwyer is a 19-year-old centre with Newfoundland Regiment in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 3 assists in 13 games, 0.31 a game, which works out to about 3 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 187 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a under 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner<1%
- Tweener1%
- AHLer6%
How he got there
1His line
0.31 P/GP
1 G, 3 A in 13 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
3 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−2%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
5 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Newfoundland Regiment | QMJHL | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.31 |
| Last season | Newfoundland Regiment | QMJHL | 45 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0.20 |