Prospect board, #1604 overall
Ryan Hedley
Centre, 19.1 years old, Oshawa Generals (OHL), 5′11″ 180 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Ryan Hedley is a 19-year-old centre with Oshawa Generals in the OHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 1 assist in 12 games, 0.42 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.63 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 180 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener10%
- AHLer16%
How he got there
1His line
0.42 P/GP
4 G, 1 A in 12 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Oshawa Generals | OHL | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0.42 |