Prospect board, #785 overall
Ryan Miller
Forward, 19.4 years old, Portland Winterhawks (WHL), 6′0″ 181 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
9%
Scouting report
Ryan Miller is a 19-year-old forward with Portland Winterhawks in the WHL. He has 30 goals and 46 assists in 65 games, 1.17 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.3 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 181 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 5% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner5%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner9%
- Tweener10%
- AHLer (most likely)62%
How he got there
1His line
1.17 P/GP
30 G, 46 A in 65 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
14 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+14%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
49 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Portland Winterhawks | WHL | 65 | 30 | 46 | 76 | 1.17 |
| Last season | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | AHL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |