Prospect board, #67 overall
Ryan Roobroeck
Left wing, 19.0 years old, Guelph Storm (OHL), 6′3″ 218 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
59%
Scouting report
Ryan Roobroeck is an 18-year-old left wing with Guelph Storm in the OHL. He has 8 goals and 6 assists in 9 games, 1.56 a game, which works out to about 18 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 1.18 a game last season. The five best scorers around him average 1.39 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 218 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 59% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 22% of a first-line career and 6% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 49 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite6%
- First-liner22%
- Middle-sixer44%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)59%
- Tweener73%
- AHLer86%
How he got there
1His line
1.56 P/GP
8 G, 6 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
18 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−12%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
49 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 9 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 1.56 |
| Last season | Niagara IceDogs | OHL | 49 | 30 | 28 | 58 | 1.18 |