Prospect board, #523 overall
Ryan Yurkiw
Defence, 18.1 years old, Barrie Colts (OHL), 6′0″ 180 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
30%
Scouting report
Ryan Yurkiw is an 18-year-old defenceman with Barrie Colts in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 9 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.45 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 180 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 30% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 23 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair9%
- Third-pair30%
- Tweener33%
- AHLer49%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
23 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Barrie Colts | OHL | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.33 |