GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #623 overall

Sacha Boisvert

Centre, 20.5 years old, Rockford IceHogs (AHL), 6′3″ 205 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

24%

AHLer

Scouting report

Sacha Boisvert is a 20-year-old centre with Rockford IceHogs in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 6 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.67 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.

At 20.5 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 205 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner3%
  3. Middle-sixer6%
  4. Fourth-liner24%
  5. Tweener25%
  6. AHLer (most likely)56%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +36%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonRockford IceHogsAHL60000.00