Prospect board, #1878 overall
Sam Black
Left wing, 19.5 years old, Brampton Steelheads (OHL), 6′1″ 186 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Sam Black is a 19-year-old left wing with Brampton Steelheads in the OHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 31 games, 0.06 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.50 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 186 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener5%
- AHLer9%
How he got there
1His line
0.06 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 31 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Brampton Steelheads | OHL | 31 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.06 |