Prospect board, #1928 overall
Sam Charko
Centre, 19.6 years old, Vancouver Giants (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Sam Charko is a 19-year-old centre with Vancouver Giants in the WHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 7 assists in 10 games, 0.70 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.40 a game last season.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner3%
- Tweener3%
- AHLer11%
How he got there
1His line
0.70 P/GP
0 G, 7 A in 10 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−2%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
36 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Vancouver Giants | WHL | 10 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0.70 |
| Last season | Vancouver Giants | WHL | 25 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0.40 |