Prospect board, #1714 overall
Sam Johnston
Right wing, 19.1 years old, Guelph Storm (OHL), 6′4″ 187 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Sam Johnston is a 19-year-old right wing with Guelph Storm in the OHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 8 games, 0.12 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average only 0.74 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 187 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener7%
- AHLer13%
How he got there
1His line
0.13 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 8 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+8%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 |