Prospect board, #549 overall
Samuel Rheault
Left wing, 17.9 years old, Rouyn-Noranda Huskies (QMJHL), 6′0″ 187 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
17%
Scouting report
Samuel Rheault is a 17-year-old left wing with Rouyn-Noranda Huskies in the QMJHL. He has 4 goals and 4 assists in 12 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 187 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 3% of a first-line career and 3% of turning into one of the league's best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite3%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer9%
- Fourth-liner17%
- Tweener32%
- AHLer (most likely)56%
How he got there
1His line
0.67 P/GP
4 G, 4 A in 12 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+19%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
43 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rouyn-Noranda Huskies | QMJHL | 12 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.67 |
| Last season | Rouyn-Noranda Huskies | QMJHL | 64 | 13 | 18 | 31 | 0.48 |