Prospect board, #1808 overall
Samuel Rocca
Right wing, 19.1 years old, Cape Breton Eagles (QMJHL), 6′0″ 162 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Samuel Rocca is a 19-year-old right wing with Cape Breton Eagles in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 2 assists in 19 games, 0.26 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.6 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 162 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener2%
- AHLer12%
How he got there
1His line
0.26 P/GP
3 G, 2 A in 19 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+21%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
50 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Cape Breton Eagles | QMJHL | 19 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0.26 |