GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1980 overall

Samuel Rousseau

Left wing, 21.3 years old, Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL), 6′0″ 198 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

3%

Long shot

Scouting report

Samuel Rousseau is a 21-year-old left wing with Halifax Mooseheads in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 14 goals and 12 assists in 34 games, 0.76 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. At 21.3 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 198 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner3%
  5. Tweener3%
  6. AHLer6%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.76 P/GP

    14 G, 12 A in 34 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    7 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +7%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL341412260.76