Prospect board, #258 overall
Sasha Pastujov
Forward, 23.2 years old, Laval Rocket (AHL), 6′0″ 184 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
35%
Scouting report
Sasha Pastujov is a 23-year-old forward with Laval Rocket in the AHL. He has 4 goals and 4 assists in 6 games, 1.33 a game, which works out to about 43 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. The five best scorers around him average 1.33 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 184 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 35% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 31 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer7%
- Fourth-liner35%
- Tweener (most likely)63%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
1.33 P/GP
4 G, 4 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
43 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−18%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Laval Rocket | AHL | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1.33 |
| Last season | San Diego Gulls | AHL | 71 | 21 | 36 | 57 | 0.80 |