Prospect board, #891 overall
Savin Virk
Right wing, 19.3 years old, Victoria Royals (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
8%
Scouting report
Savin Virk is a 19-year-old right wing with Victoria Royals in the WHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 9 assists in 9 games, 1.44 a game, which works out to about 17 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.98 a game last season. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner8%
- Tweener10%
- AHLer (most likely)57%
How he got there
1His line
1.44 P/GP
4 G, 9 A in 9 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
17 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−15%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
47 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Victoria Royals | WHL | 9 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 1.44 |
| Last season | Tri-City Americans | WHL | 66 | 27 | 38 | 65 | 0.98 |