Prospect board, #977 overall
Shawn Carrier
Right wing, 19.5 years old, Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL), 5′11″ 186 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
8%
Scouting report
Shawn Carrier is a 19-year-old right wing with Halifax Mooseheads in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 1.17 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.3 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 186 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner8%
- Tweener11%
- AHLer (most likely)52%
How he got there
1His line
1.17 P/GP
5 G, 2 A in 6 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+10%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Halifax Mooseheads | QMJHL | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1.17 |
| Last season | Halifax Mooseheads | QMJHL | 61 | 37 | 28 | 65 | 1.07 |