Prospect board, #2216 overall
Shawn Costello
Centre, 19.6 years old, Windsor Spitfires (OHL), 6′1″ 195 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
1%
Scouting report
Shawn Costello is a 19-year-old centre with Windsor Spitfires in the OHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 1 assist in 10 games, 0.30 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.08 a game last season. At 19.6 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 195 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner1%
- Tweener2%
- AHLer6%
How he got there
1His line
0.30 P/GP
2 G, 1 A in 10 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
32 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Windsor Spitfires | OHL | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.30 |
| Last season | Windsor Spitfires | OHL | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 |