GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #547 overall

Stepan Stejskal

Left wing, 17.7 years old, Niagara IceDogs (OHL), 6′0″ 165 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

26%

AHLer

Scouting report

Stepan Stejskal is a 17-year-old left wing with Niagara IceDogs in the OHL. He has 2 goals and 1 assist in 8 games, 0.38 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 165 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 26% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 32 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer7%
  4. Fourth-liner26%
  5. Tweener38%
  6. AHLer (most likely)52%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.38 P/GP

    2 G, 1 A in 8 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +8%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    17.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    32 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonNiagara IceDogsOHL82130.38