Prospect board, #1125 overall
Tanner Lam
Right wing, 19.2 years old, Kitchener Rangers (OHL), 5′10″ 160 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Tanner Lam is a 19-year-old right wing with Kitchener Rangers in the OHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 7 assists in 13 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.72 a game last season. His team scores 2.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.81 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 160 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener12%
- AHLer40%
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
6 G, 7 A in 13 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+28%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
39 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Kitchener Rangers | OHL | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Kitchener Rangers | OHL | 67 | 19 | 29 | 48 | 0.72 |