Prospect board, #1327 overall
Teddy Mutryn
Centre, 19.6 years old, Moncton Wildcats (QMJHL), 6′1″ 209 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Teddy Mutryn is a 19-year-old centre with Moncton Wildcats in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 31 goals and 37 assists in 54 games, 1.26 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.8 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.30 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 209 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener8%
- AHLer29%
How he got there
1His line
1.26 P/GP
31 G, 37 A in 54 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−20%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
36 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Moncton Wildcats | QMJHL | 54 | 31 | 37 | 68 | 1.26 |