Prospect board, #1328 overall
Tomas Pobezal
Centre, 20.0 years old, Kingston Frontenacs (OHL), 5′11″ 182 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
6%
Scouting report
Tomas Pobezal is a 19-year-old centre with Kingston Frontenacs in the OHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 11 assists in 11 games, 1.36 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.65 a game last season. His team scores 4.4 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. At 20.0 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 182 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer1%
- Fourth-liner6%
- Tweener10%
- AHLer33%
How he got there
1His line
1.36 P/GP
4 G, 11 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−11%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
34 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Kingston Frontenacs | OHL | 11 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 1.36 |
| Last season | Kingston Frontenacs | OHL | 60 | 17 | 22 | 39 | 0.65 |