GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1697 overall

Tomas Poletin

Left wing, 19.4 years old, Kelowna Rockets (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

Long shot

Scouting report

Tomas Poletin is a 19-year-old left wing with Kelowna Rockets in the WHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 4 assists in 7 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer1%
  4. Fourth-liner4%
  5. Tweener4%
  6. AHLer19%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    3 G, 4 A in 7 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +2%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    34 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonKelowna RocketsWHL73471.00
Last seasonKelowna RocketsWHL432015350.81