GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1909 overall

Torretto Marrelli

Left wing, 19.1 years old, Vancouver Giants (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Torretto Marrelli is a 19-year-old left wing with Vancouver Giants in the WHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 7 assists in 54 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 2.3 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.74 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener2%
  6. AHLer20%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.17 P/GP

    2 G, 7 A in 54 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +33%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    39 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonVancouver GiantsWHL542790.17