GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #198 overall

Trevor Daley Jr

Centre, 17.2 years old, Soo Greyhounds (OHL), 5′10″ 182 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

30%

AHLer

Scouting report

Trevor Daley Jr is a 17-year-old centre with Soo Greyhounds in the OHL. He has 3 goals and 5 assists in 11 games, 0.73 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 17.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 182 pounds. His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 30% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 13% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 52 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. First-liner13%
  3. Middle-sixer26%
  4. Fourth-liner30%
  5. Tweener50%
  6. AHLer (most likely)59%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.73 P/GP

    3 G, 5 A in 11 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    9 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +4%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    17.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    52 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSoo GreyhoundsOHL113580.73