Tristan Delisle

Centre, 19.3 years old, Owen Sound Attack (OHL), 5′11″ 184 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

AHLer

Scouting report

Tristan Delisle is a 19-year-old centre with Owen Sound Attack in the OHL, undrafted. He has 31 goals and 33 assists in 68 games, 0.94 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 184 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner3%
Middle-sixer5%
Fourth-liner11%
Tweener20%
AHLer (most likely)69%

How he got there

1His line
0.94 P/GP
31 G, 33 A in 68 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+8%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
Last season	Owen Sound Attack	OHL	68	31	33	64	0.94