Tyden Lafournaise

Right wing, 17.5 years old, Lethbridge Hurricanes (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

21%

AHLer

Scouting report

Tyden Lafournaise is a 17-year-old right wing with Lethbridge Hurricanes in the WHL. He has 2 goals and 2 assists in 11 games, 0.36 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 21% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 5% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite2%
First-liner5%
Middle-sixer11%
Fourth-liner21%
Tweener28%
AHLer (most likely)62%

How he got there

1His line
0.36 P/GP
2 G, 2 A in 11 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Lethbridge Hurricanes	WHL	11	2	2	4	0.36
Last season	Lethbridge Hurricanes	WHL	61	11	7	18	0.30