Prospect board, #59 overall
Tyler Cooper
Centre, 16.8 years old, Erie Otters (OHL), 5′11″ 185 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
62%
Scouting report
Tyler Cooper is a 16-year-old centre with Erie Otters in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 9 games, 0.11 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
That is down from 0.37 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. His team scores 2.6 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.77 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. At 16.8 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 185 pounds. His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 62% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 25% of a first-line career and 9% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 51 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite9%
- First-liner25%
- Middle-sixer48%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)62%
- Tweener69%
- AHLer81%
How he got there
1His line
0.11 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+24%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
16.8
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
51 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Erie Otters | OHL | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 |
| Last season | Erie Otters | OHL | 63 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 0.37 |