Prospect board, #1600 overall
Tyson Goguen
Centre, 19.6 years old, Newfoundland Regiment (QMJHL), 5′9″ 175 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Tyson Goguen is a 19-year-old centre with Newfoundland Regiment in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 7 goals and 7 assists in 13 games, 1.08 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 175 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener5%
- AHLer15%
How he got there
1His line
1.08 P/GP
7 G, 7 A in 13 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+7%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
41 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Newfoundland Regiment | QMJHL | 13 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 1.08 |
| Last season | Newfoundland Regiment | QMJHL | 41 | 19 | 21 | 40 | 0.98 |